Vol. 14 No. 2
Production, export dynamics and future prospects of fresh mango of India
Author(s): S. P. SINGH, A. K. NANDI AND L. K. ADARSHA
Abstract: Mango (Mangiferaindica) is one of potential fruit crops in the tropics, adopted to a wide range of soil and relatively easy to cultivate anywhere in the country in several seasons. It plays a key role to make India top runner in global mango production.Data for a period of 2006-07 to 2015-16 has been analyzedwith respect to area, production, productivity, quantity, and value of export of Indian mangoes. The Markov chain modeland transitional probability matrices was used for forecasting the major global market and nature of export of Indian mango.Results revealed that compound growth rate of area were non-significant whereas compound growth rate (CGR)of production, productivity and value of export were positively significant at 1 per cent level of probability while, the quantity of export was negatively significant at 1 per cent level of probability. The study also revealed that CGR of value of export was 10.81 per cent per annum and quantity of export had shown a decreasing trend with CGR value (-) 7.56 per cent per annum. The countries like the UAE is one of the major market for Indian mango which imported 38.33 per cent quantity and it was greater than half of the value of fresh mango exported from India.Bangladesh is one of the most stable markets of Indian mango as reflected by 82.32 per cent probability of retention in terms of quantity export;the UAE remained at top in total value exported as reflected 75 per cent retention probability.As per these facts, India has a good and significant potential for increasing production, productivity and export of mango crop. Therefore, India mustpay more attention for increasing production with superior quality, supported by favourable export promotion policies. Besides, attempts have to be taken to create new market and expand the trade area to other global major existing markets.
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