Vol. 18 No. 3
Modelling and forecasting of electricity consumption used in agriculture purpose in India
Author(s): R. K. TIWARI, P. MISHRA, B. KUMARI, A. M. G. AL KHATIB, S. YADAV, M. ABOTALEB, S. RAY AND M. KUMARI
This study primarily focused on predicting power use for agricultural purposes because it is a highly useful issue in our daily lives.Therefore, it is crucial to examine the nature of overall power consumption as well as its use for agricultural purposes. We attempted to develop a time series forecasting model to anticipate power usage.The ARIMA and State Space models were used to construct the statistical model. Akaike information criterion (AIC), Mean absolute error (MAE), Root mean square error (RMSE), and Mean absolute percentage error were used to evaluate the fitness of the two statistical models (MAPE).On both training and test data series, we were able to establish that state space models are the best model for predicting power usage for agricultural purposes. We anticipated that India’s use of electricity for agricultural purposes will increase by 14.36% between 2021 and 2026 to reach 250517.4 (GWh) in 2026.The growth rate for India’s total electricity consumption from 2021 to 2026 is predicted to be 16.24%. This paper provides a thorough evaluation of energy use for agricultural purposes in India.